Making Our Opponent

Indifferent to Bluffing

상대방의 블러프가 수익이 나지 않게 만들기

We often think ouropponent should not be able to profitably bluff. When this occurs,

there should be somehands in his range that are +EV to bluff while others are -EV. In

these cases, ouropponent is required to bluff hands with the right equity for his bluffs to be profitable.

우리는 종종 상대방의 블러프가 수익이 날수 없다고 생각한다. 이 상황에서 상대방의 레인지에는 어떤 핸드들은 블러프 하기에 +EV여야 하고 다른 핸드들은 -EV여야한다. 이러한 경우, 상대방은 수익이 나기 위해서 상대 레인지의 알맞은 에쿼티를 가진 핸드로 블러프 해야한다.

Here’s an example. A playeropens in the cutoff and only the button calls. If the flop

comes the Q♥7♣6♠, the cutoff will almost certainly be ableto profitably bet the T♠9♠

since it has fourouts to the nuts, can catch a running flush, and can also turn a winning

middle pair. This isalmost certainly a profitable bet against an optimal playing

opponent.

 예를 들어 보자, CO에서 오픈했고 버튼만 콜했다. 플랍에 Q♥7♣6♠ 깔렸고 CO가 T♠9♠로 벳하는 것은 거의 항상 수익이 난다. 왜냐하면 4개의 넛 아웃츠가 있으며, 러너러너 플러쉬 또는, 턴에 미들 페어를 맞출수도 있다. 그러므로 이 벳은 옵티멀한 플레이어 상대로는 거의 항상 수익이 나는 벳이다.

Much weaker hands,such as a pair of deuces, are not likely to be profitable as a

continuation betbecause they only have two outs to a set. The small pair also should not

be able to doublebarrel bluff the turn effectively since it can’t pick up additional outs and is unlikely towin at showdown with just a pair.

 더 약한 핸드들, 포켓 2같은 핸드들은 플랍에 c벳으로는 아웃츠가 2개 밖에 없으므로 수익이 나기 힘들다. 낮은 페어들로 턴에 더블 배럴하는 것은 추가적인 아웃츠도 없고 스몰페어로 쇼다운에서 이기는것도 어려우므로 효과적이지 않다.

A player whoconsistently bluffs with the right hands is “randomizing well,” and this

player makes surehis range is balanced by bluffing with hands which have the right

equity. This giveshim the best chance of getting lucky with his bluffs and outdrawing

his opponent onfuture streets. Notice that this player bluffs in a random way that is

determined by thehand he’sholding and the board texture rather than if he simply feels

like bluffing.

 계속해서 알맞은 핸드들로 지속적으로 블러프하는 플레이어를 “무작위 정”이라고 하며, 이러한 플레이어들은 자신의 레인지가 적절한 에쿼티를 가진 핸드들로 균형잡혀 있음을 확신한다. 이는 그가 운좋게도 그의 세미 블러프가 힛해서 다음 스트릿에서 밸류를 뽑아올 가능성을 극대화 시킨다. 이 플레이어가 단순히 블러프 하고 싶어서 하는것에 비해, 보드 텍스쳐와 그의 핸드를 바탕으로 랜덤하게 블러프 한다는 것에 주목해야 한다.

In this book, whenwe say “wewant our opponent to break even with his weak bluffs,”it

will usually mean wewant him to be close to indifferent between check-folding or

bluffing with theworst hand in his betting range. That is our opponent’s best bluffing

hands are clearlygoing to be profitable since they have the best chance to improve on

future streets orthe best removal effects. However, in many spots, the worst hand in our

opponent’s theoretically correctbetting range should only be slightly profitable.

 이 책에서, “우리는 상대방이 그의 약한 블러프로도 수익이 나지 않기를 원한다” 라고 말할 때, 이는 보통 상대방의 체크-폴드하거나 레인지의 가장 약한 핸드로 블러프 하는 것이 수익이 나지 않기를 원한다라는 의미이다. 즉 우리 상대방의 블러프 하기에 최고로 좋은 핸드는 아웃츠도 많고 발전될 가능성이 많거나 카드 제거 효과가 크므로, 거의 항상 수익이 날 것이다. 그러나, 많은 경우 상대방의 이론적으로 벳하는 것이 올바르지만 약한 핸드들은 아주 미약하게 수익이 날 것이다.

If a player folds somuch that his opponent can profitably bluff anything in his range,

this will often (butnot always) tell us he isn’t defending as aggressively as he

theoreticallyshould. For instance, imagine a player folds so much to flop raises that his

opponent canprofitably raise the flop with any two cards. His opponent will simply

never fold becausefolding is 0 EV whereas bluff-raising yields a positive EV. (We will

discuss when it isacceptable to allow our opponent to make a profit by bluffing with any

two cards in futurechapters, but there are many situations where a player should not be

able to profitablybluff with any two cards.)

만약 플레이어가 너무 많이 폴드해서 상대방이 레인지 안의 어떤 핸드로도 블러프하는 것이 수익이 난다면, 이것은 자주(항상은 아니다) 그가 이론적으로 해야하는 만큼 적극적으로 방어하지 않음을 알려준다. 예를 들어 플레이어가 플랍 레이즈에 너무 자주 폴드해서 상대방이 어떠한 핸드로도 플랍에 레이즈하는 것이 수익이 난다고 하자. 상대방이 폴드할경우 EV는 0이지만 블러프 레이즈 하는 것은 +EV 이므로 절대 폴드하지 않을 것이다(우리는 나중에 상대방이 아무 핸드로 블러프 할 수 있는 상황에 대해 논의 할 것이다, 그러나 많은 경우에서 플레이어는 아무런 핸드로 블러프하는 것이 불가능하다.)

Lastly, note it’s often possible totake two lines which have the same expectation againstan optimal opponent. Forinstance, we may find ourselves holding a bluff catcher on the river where callingand folding both have an expectation of zero. Against an optimal

opponent, it won’t matter which line wetake since he’ll never change his strategy to

exploit us. Butagainst any real opponent, calling too frequently encourages him to stop

bluffing whereasfolding too frequently incentivizes him to bluff too much. So it’s

important to remainbalanced against good opponents even in spots where the

expectation of bothlines is the same against an optimal opponent (unless you are

planning to reverse strategy in the future).

마지막으로, 옵티멀한플레이어를 상대로 같은 리드를 가지고 두 가지 라인을 택하는 것이 가능하다는 것에 주목해라. 예를 들어, 우리가 리버에서 블러프 캐쳐를 가지고 있고, 콜이나 폴드의 기댓값이둘다 0라고 하자. 옵티멀한 플레이어를 상대로 할 때, 상대방은 우리르 ㄹ익스플로잇 하기 위해 전략을 바꾸지 않을 것이므로, 둘중어떤 라인을 택하는가는 별로 중요치 않다. 그러나 실제의 경우, 너무많이 콜하는 것은 그가 블러프 하는 것을 멈추게 할 것이며, 너무 많이 폴드하는것은 블러프를 더 하는것을 촉진 시킬 것이다. 그러므로 비록 두 라인의 EV는동일 하지만, 유능한 상대방과 플레이 할 때는 밸런싱된 라인을 유지하는 것이 매우 중요하다. (플레이어가 만약 나중의 반대 전략의 사용을 계획하고 있지 않다는 전제하에)